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The answer is Kansas City, even though Dallas is counting on a rookie quarterback in his first playoff game and Atlanta might have a tough matchup for its up-and-down defense.
New England isn't losing to Oakland, Houston or Miami at home. The Chiefs will be a tough out at Arrowhead, but a potential matchup against the Steelers is not ideal for their postseason run.
New England quarterback Tom Brady. He has thrown 28 touchdown passes with just two interceptions since returning from his Deflategate suspension.
They've missed him badly in the past two postseason runs. He was a dominant difference-maker down the stretch.
So, let me get this straight. Tom Brady has had an absurdly efficient and successful season, yet he likely won't win the NFL MVP award thanks in part to his wacky four-game suspension?
He doesn't, but he thinks he does. Opposing offenses have learned not to sleep on Bouye, who has blossomed into a top-notch defensive back this season.
Playing a Raiders squad that will field Connor Cook at quarterback gives Bouye a great chance to continue bolstering his market value while heading toward offseason free agency.
Teams have to account for Michael Bennett and try to exploit the Earl Thomas-less secondary, and Avril will take advantage of that.
Jared Cook, TE, Packers. Since he returned healthy in Week 11, he has flashed a key part of their passing offense because of his ability to work down the seam and create mismatches with his athleticism.
The Giants, Cowboys and Falcons all have struggled to cover that position. Wide receiver Eli Rogers is not the Steelers' most dangerous weapon, obviously, but he's one opponents easily can underestimate.
Watch out for him. Even without Jason Pierre-Paul, they have made good offenses look bad regularly down the stretch.
Let's be honest — Houston's defense is the only reason the Texans are in the playoffs, even out of such a weak division. If Houston manages to win a playoff game or two, it likely won't be because of Brock Osweiler or Tom Savage at quarterback.
The performance of this J. Watt-less unit in , given the pressure put on it, has been remarkable. With a record in second-round home playoff games, the Patriots should be considered a shoe-in for the AFC title game.
Their run will end in Gillette Stadium in the conference title game, though. Ben Roethlisberger and Mike Tomlin are overdue for this kind of run.
Time to cash in on the strength of a great rushing attack and underrated D. Maybe it's as simple as the change in offensive coordinators, but maybe it's just a factor of "not every year is great.
While he hasn't had his best season, Jones is capable of making any catch at any time and taking over a game, as he did against Green Bay in last year's NFC title game.
If he and Ryan find that elusive connection, he'll be a nightmare for any opponent. The Patriots' first playoff game will be at home against either the Bills, Chiefs or Titans.
If the Bills beat the Jaguars in the wild-card round, they'd travel to New England for the divisional round.
If the Jaguars win that game, the Patriots' first game would be against the Titans-Chiefs winner. You can have a point lead against them in the Super Bowl, and they still win.
Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are the greatest of all time at what they do, and there's no team in the field that has even close to the amount of experience the Patriots have in big January games.
The defense has held together for much of the season in spite of a slew of big-time losses, and it still misses linebacker Dont'a Hightower. That's the kind of thing that could show up in a different way once the competition stiffens.
They're not far removed from a loss in Miami in which Brady looked terrible and the Dolphins ran all over their defense.
So while they're the favorite, they're not invincible. Dion Lewis has been a machine, and the Patriots will lean on him to carry the load.
But their run game is at its best when it has diversity with Rex Burkhead and James White , who can be factors in the passing game as well.
Each has dealt with injuries toward the end of the season, and it will be important for New England to get them back for their playoff run. Brady can bring the Patriots back at the end, but it helps to control games if they have balance on offense.
The Steelers' first playoff game will be a home game against either the Jaguars, Titans or Chiefs. If the Jags beat the Bills, Jacksonville travels to Pittsburgh for the divisional round.
It would be a Steelers home game unless the opponent is the Patriots. The defense appears to be in better shape than it was this time last year, with Cam Heyward healthy and some of the younger guys like Artie Burns and Javon Hargrave having grown in their roles throughout the season.
The health of WR Antonio Brown. He suffered a serious calf injury in Week 15 and missed the final two games of the regular season.
The Steelers are hopeful that they'll have him for their playoff opener, but they can't be sure A whether they will or B how close to full strength he will be.
Wide receiver Martavis Bryant. He has been disgruntled for much of his first season back from suspension. He asked for a trade early in the season and probably will again after the season.
But the Steelers kept him because they believe he can be a game-changing weapon for them with his rare combination of size and speed.
He was obviously a bigger part of the game plan with Brown out in late December. Perhaps that sparks something that makes a difference in January.
Bills in wild-card round on Sunday 1 p. The Jaguars' first playoff game in 10 years will be a home game against a team that hasn't played a playoff game in 18 years.
They will host the Bills in the divisional round. Should they win, they would travel to Pittsburgh for their second-round game, and if they win that, they would play an AFC Championship Game against the Patriots, Chiefs or Titans.
No team in the AFC field plays defense the way Jacksonville does. The Jaguars have stars at all three levels. They can rush the passer, their corners can cover receivers one-on-one and their linebackers are versatile.
On either side of that game, they whipped the Ravens and won in Pittsburgh. The franchise hasn't played a playoff game in a decade, and the roster is loaded with dudes who've never played in one.
This is a team built on its run game and its defense, which means it's built to play from ahead. Blake Bortles spent most of December red-hot, but if the Jags fall behind, is he capable of bringing them back?
The Jags lost top wideout Allen Robinson in the first game of the season and have had to play at times without Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns because of injury.
And while Keelan Cole and Dede Westbrook have shown flashes, teams don't want to be leaning too hard on rookies at this time of year. At some point, the Jags will have to rely on their passing game.
When that time comes, it would help to have Lee and Hurns in there and healthy. Titans in wild-card round on Saturday 4: The Chiefs will host the Titans in their opener at Arrowhead Stadium.
If the Jags lose, the Chiefs -- as the highest-seeded wild-card-round winner -- would play the 2-seed Steelers in Pittsburgh in the divisional round.
The only way that game would be in Kansas City is if the opponent is the Bills. This team has been to the playoffs before -- just last year, in fact.
And while that experience was a disappointing home loss to a Steelers team that didn't score a touchdown, sometimes negative experiences help teams grow.
This Kansas City team has beaten the Patriots, Eagles and Chargers twice , and their loss to the Steelers was a close one.
They shook off their midseason slump with three straight wins to claim their second straight division title, and they come in playing well.
That midseason slump did happen, and it put on tape for a lot of teams a blueprint for limiting the Kansas City offense.
If the Chiefs' run blocking has a bad day, it makes them one-dimensional and allows teams to beat them with relatively simple Cover 2 shell concepts.
Oh, and on defense they struggle against the run. The Chiefs' best pass-rusher hasn't been fully healthy for the playoffs the past two years.
When he is, he's still a difference-maker on defense, where Kansas City needs to be better than it has been for much of this season.
A healthy Houston could give the Chiefs an edge they haven't had in recent January matchups with the likes of Pittsburgh and New England. The Titans travel to Kansas City to play the Chiefs in the first round.
If they win that, they would travel to either New England or Pittsburgh for the divisional round. The only way it would be a home game is if the opponent were the Bills.
And hey, if DeMarco Murray can get back healthy, they have a running back punch that can theoretically help them control games and maybe win ugly.
They'd lost three games in a row before Sunday's playoff-clinching victory over the Jags, and they really haven't looked good in awhile. Marcus Mariota had 12 touchdown passes and 15 interceptions heading into Sunday's regular-season finale.
The Titans have not been able to get the passing game going at all. Talk about coach Mike Mularkey's job security can't be helping matters.
The dazzling young quarterback out of Oregon entered this season seemingly poised to make a big leap, and he did not.
But the playoffs offer a fresh slate, and Mariota does bring a unique skill set with his ability to run as well as pass. If he gets on a roll, he could make a little magic.
The Bills' first playoff game in a generation will be a road game in Jacksonville. Win that, and they would head to New England to play the Patriots, against whom they went this season.
As the 6-seed, the Bills cannot host a playoff game. If he's healthy, running back LeSean McCoy gives Buffalo a true top-of-the-league difference-maker in the running game and the passing game.
The Bills have a solid offensive line, and if they can control games, they might have enough playmakers on offense to surprise a team or two.
McCoy was carted off Sunday with an ankle injury , and without him the Bills wouldn't be the same team. But even with him, obviously very few of them have been here before.
Acquired from Carolina in a surprising deadline trade, Benjamin was to give the Bills the No. He has struggled with a knee injury, however, and might not be fully healthy until he gets that thing fixed in the offseason.
But he was their go-for-it move, and if he can play like a No. To help make this website better, to improve and personalize your experience and for advertising purposes, are you happy to accept cookies and other technologies?
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